Polymarket's 24% Signal: The Clarity Act Odds Crash Is a Data Science Problem, Not a Prediction
The YES price on Polymarket for the Crypto Clarity Act hitting 0.24 USDC...
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2026-07-18
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Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$78,086.2
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ETH
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$2,280.64
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SOL
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DOGE
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LINK
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$11.31
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Fear & Greed
37
Fear
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Event Calendar
202618
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Topic Tags
Tools
All →Altseason Index
40
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$78,086.2
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,280.64
1
Solana
SOL
$94.22
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$707.07
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.25
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0751
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1906
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$8.54
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.9495
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.31
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0xef2a...d82c
1d ago
In
375,716 USDC
🔵
0xbe80...3a94
12m ago
Stake
23,937 SOL
🔴
0x49ad...434c
1d ago
Out
444.13 BTC
💡 Smart Money
0x3380...8477
Market Maker
+$1.9M
84%
0xb5a8...100d
Early Investor
+$1.1M
66%
0xb034...b272
Market Maker
+$1.5M
85%